Sunday, November 21, 2010

Obama and Reid dare to DREAM

As the lame duck session in Congress begins, Obama has a last chance to encourage essential bills without the incoming massive partisan resistance. One that is on the agenda, and should be number one priority, is the DREAM Act.The DREAM Act provides education funding and legal residence status for minors who are in the country illegally and are trying to obtain a college degree or serve in the military.  
 
The stakes are high this lame duck session. First, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid must keep all of the promises made to his constituents , including those to the Latino voters, who re-elected him over Sharon Angle because of his support for the DREAM Act. The Democratic Party has to act quickly, as they currently still hold the majority in the House and Senate. But come January, the DREAM Act and other immigration bills will probably be blocked in the House by the new Republican Majority.
 
Secondly, passing the DREAM Act is important to help secure Obama’s re-election. On average, President Obama’s approval rating has dropped from 64% in January 2009 to a minority of 46% in November 2010. In fact, organizations have launched campaigns to garner support for the unpopular president, such as the “what the fuck has Obama done so far” website that details different accomplishments of the Obama Administration with the click of a button. Passing the DREAM Act can be extremely crucial to Obama’s re-election because in 2008, 67% of the Latino vote went to Obama largely because of his promises to create a comprehensive immigration reform. Minorities, always thought to be loyal to the Democratic Party, will only take so many broken promises before becoming disillusioned and staying home (or even voting Republican!) on Election Day in 2012.
 
Lastly, passing the DREAM Act has greater implications for the future of the Democratic Party. As the Latino population rises, the Democratic Party has an opportunity to be a clear majority of the United States. In fact, it is predicted that Latinos will represent 30% of the United States population by 2050. The problem is that Latinos, while normally Democratic, tend to be morally conservative because of strong Catholic beliefs. As they settle in and become more successful, evident in an increase of small businesses, they will also become more financially conservative. If the Democratic Party doesn’t keep courting the Latinos, they will be losing a battle they don't even realize they are fighting. They have grown complacent, but must always put Hispanics first. Therefore, if the Democratic Party can help pass the DREAM Act they will further establish themselves as the immigrant-friendly party—for years to come they can expect a growing voter turnout from Latinos.

2 Comments:

At 3:04 PM, Blogger Dr. B said...

I disagree with this political analysis. The Democrats have no chance to pass the DREAM Act, but that's not a problem: They can blame the Republicans, and so whip up Latino voters. In fact by failing to enact the DREAM Act they are keeping the immigration issue alive, which helps them with Latinos. (Of course if immigration reform was enacted, it would result in more Latinos becoming citizens, which would also help the Democrats.)

 
At 11:59 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dr. B,

I think that you are giving Latino voters, and voters in general, too much credit here. Voters vote retrospectively and to them, Democrats taking the DREAM act off the agenda is seeing as negative, not good. To them, the promises of having immigration reform, are delayed yet again. The Democrat's strategy to take the DREAM act off to prevent it from being totally shut down by the Republicans won't be understood, voters do not do enough work to realize the political tactics. Furthermore, bicameralism is confusing. Even if the Democrats try to blame the Republicans for the DREAM act's failure, all voters will understand is that CONGRESS messed things up. Having no faith in Congress can't be good for either party.

xoxogossipgirl

 

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